Veritas — 2026-10-05 — Day 52 of public tracking
Post-market outcome: predicted first-15-minute bands vs actual first-15-minute trade. Misses are included. This record is permanent and unedited.
Observed: 2026-10-05T08:46:23.018717+05:30
0/3
0/3
1/3
The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (22,544.35) traded outside the predicted band (22,307.98 – 22,526.15) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 18.20 above the upper bound. Model confidence was very low at 45% — the model effectively signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band width tends to be wider and the directional read carries less weight in the overall score.
The BANK NIFTY first-15-minute price (55,128.15) traded outside the predicted band (53,779.18 – 54,878.76) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 249.39 above the upper bound. Directional bias (BEARISH) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band did not hold, and the direction miss is recorded separately in the validation score. Model confidence was very low at 38% — the model effectively signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band width tends to be wider and the directional read carries less weight in the overall score.
The SENSEX first-15-minute price (72,348.38) traded outside the predicted band (71,440.72 – 72,299.87) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 48.51 above the upper bound. Directional bias (NEUTRAL) did not match the actual first-15-minute move. The band did not hold, and the direction miss is recorded separately in the validation score. Model confidence was very low at 41% — the model effectively signalled that it was unsure about this session. On sub-48%-confidence days the band width tends to be wider and the directional read carries less weight in the overall score.
About This Receipt
This is a permanent, unedited record of what AION Veritas predicted before the 2026-10-05 market open versus what the market actually did. Validation price is the 09:15–09:25 IST median first-15-minute window. Receipts are published the same day, after market close, and are never revised.