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Public Validation Receipt

Veritas — 2026-11-05 — Day 74 of public tracking

Outcome of the first 15 minutes of trade: predicted bands against the actual first-15-minute trade. Misses are included. This record is permanent and unedited.

Forecast generated: 2026-11-05T08:46:38.662433+05:30

Overnight crude: down 1.67 percent. Historical full-day effect: NIFTY 50 up in 65 percent of 26 comparable sessions, BANK NIFTY up in 69 percent, SENSEX up in 62 percent. This is not a first-15-minute signal.

Bands held (median)
0/3
Minutes inside the band
NIFTY 50 0/15 · BANK NIFTY 0/15 · SENSEX 0/15
Bands held (10 of 15 minutes)
0/3
Direction (asserted)
3 of 3
Direction (neutral)
0 of 0 correct
NIFTY 50
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)23,988.99
Predicted band (high)24,288.84
Model centre24,120.74
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)24,354.70
Band result (median of 09:15/09:20/09:25)MISS ✗
Band result (at least 10 of 15 minutes)MISS ✗ (0/15 minutes, 0%)
Direction (asserted: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence95.0%
Direction sourceovernight gap-sign rule; classifier shadow: BULLISH
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The NIFTY 50 first-15-minute price (24,354.70) traded outside the predicted band (23,988.99 – 24,288.84) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 65.86 above the upper bound. The model asserted a BULLISH direction, and the first-15-minute price moved that way. The asserted call is scored correct. Model confidence was 95% with strong directional reliability.

BANK NIFTY
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)55,393.68
Predicted band (high)56,275.54
Model centre55,918.36
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)56,914.45
Band result (median of 09:15/09:20/09:25)MISS ✗
Band result (at least 10 of 15 minutes)MISS ✗ (0/15 minutes, 0%)
Direction (asserted: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence95.0%
Direction sourceovernight gap-sign rule; classifier shadow: BEARISH
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The BANK NIFTY first-15-minute price (56,914.45) traded outside the predicted band (55,393.68 – 56,275.54) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 638.91 above the upper bound. The model asserted a BULLISH direction, and the first-15-minute price moved that way. The asserted call is scored correct. Model confidence was 95% with strong directional reliability.

SENSEX
BAND MISS
Predicted band (low)77,314.07
Predicted band (high)78,272.66
Model centre77,800.57
Actual open (09:15-09:25 Median)78,722.76
Band result (median of 09:15/09:20/09:25)MISS ✗
Band result (at least 10 of 15 minutes)MISS ✗ (0/15 minutes, 0%)
Direction (asserted: BULLISH)Correct ✓
Confidence95.0%
Direction sourceovernight gap-sign rule; classifier shadow: BULLISH
Failure modeRANGE_MISS

The SENSEX first-15-minute price (78,722.76) traded outside the predicted band (77,314.07 – 78,272.66) — a band miss. The first-15-minute trade printed 450.10 above the upper bound. The model asserted a BULLISH direction, and the first-15-minute price moved that way. The asserted call is scored correct. Model confidence was 95% with strong directional reliability.

About This Receipt

This is a permanent, unedited record of what AION Veritas predicted before the 2026-11-05 market open versus what the market actually did. Validation price is the 09:15–09:25 IST median first-15-minute window. Receipts are published the same morning, after the first-15-minute window has been scored, and are never revised.

Direction is reported in two groups. An asserted call is one where the model committed to UP or DOWN. A neutral call is one where the model declined to assert. A neutral call is correct if the move from the previous close stays inside the tolerance and a miss if the move breaks it. The move and the tolerance are shown on each index card.

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